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In this “knowing your audience” practical exercise, you will determine if the specified information/intelligence requirement was satisfied. If not, discuss what actions should be taken. Additionally, you will attempt to get into the mind of the intelligence end-user (your audience) in order to better understand how they use the intelligence products.
Scenario
Using the scenario and IR from the text and the three (3) findings and two (2) assumptions listed below, answer the following questions. Be prepared to discuss and defend your answers.
Finding #1: Over one hundred extraterrestrial spacecraft approximately 300 yards long x 50 yards wide (origins unknown) have landed in Texas at 25-plus confirmed locations.1 Multiple smaller (approximately 30 feet long) ground-effect vehicles have emerged (specific numbers unknown, estimated to <50 per spacecraft based upon parent volume) from parent craft and are moving east along Interstates 10, 20, and possibly 30 at approximately 50 mph.2
Finding #2: Likely headed towards the Mississippi River (could cross Mississippi) at two (2), probably three (3), locations (I-10/I-20/I-30? bridges), intentions, friendly or hostile, unknown (no fatalities yet reported) and ultimate destination(s) presently unknown.3
Finding #3: Unidentified ground effect craft are extremely mobile. However, vehicular movement patterns appear to indicate preference or probably require relatively flat surface to obtain/maintain present speed (approximately 50 mph); resulting in the observed preferential movement along interstates.4
Assumption 1: Invaders are extraterrestrial in origin.
Assumption 2: Extremely advanced technologically, superior weapons and propulsion capabilities.
Note: Read three (3) findings and two (2) assumptions above and ask yourself “Do they adequately answer the IR?” (Yes/No) If “No”, why not? What does the analyst do when they cannot adequately answer all or part of an IR?
• Strength: ________ spacecraft and an estimate of up to __________ ground effect vehicles/craft
• Size: Spacecraft are _______ yards x _____ yards and ground effect vehicles are approximately _____ feet long
• Routes of movement: moving ____along Interstates _____ (possibly ___) at approximately ____ mph
• Intentions: _____________________________________________________________________
• Destination: ____________________________________________________________________
• Are the assumptions listed valid?
• Are the assumptions clearly identified as “assumptions?” (Yes/No)
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